Épinal vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
RED
0 - 3
SPI
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
SPI
3 - 2
FCR
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 2
SPI
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
SPI
2 - 2
VAN
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LPS
1 - 2
SPI
33%
27%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
NÎM
2 - 1
PFC
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 1
NÎM
28%
30%
43%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
NÎM
4 - 1
FCM
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
NÎM
3 - 0
BRC
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
RED
1 - 2
NÎM
27%
31%
43%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |