Épinal vs Nancy II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
CAL
0 - 1
SPI
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
SPI
2 - 0
RCE
68%
20%
13%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
LEN
0 - 0
SPI
61%
22%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
SPI
0 - 1
LIL
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
LSC
2 - 1
SPI
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
NAN
2 - 1
SCH
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
MET
3 - 1
NAN
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
CAL
3 - 1
NAN
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
NAN
2 - 0
RCE
74%
16%
9%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
LEN
0 - 0
NAN
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |