Épinal vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
75%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
USB
1 - 1
SPI
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SPI
0 - 1
LUS
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
HEI
0 - 4
SPI
4%
10%
86%
|
51 | 9 | 42 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BRC
1 - 3
SPI
15%
22%
63%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ESW
1 - 2
SPI
18%
24%
58%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PFC
1 - 4
MET
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
MET
3 - 2
ASS
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
RAO
1 - 2
MET
6%
14%
81%
|
71 | 34 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
LHA
2 - 0
MET
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MET
0 - 0
SOC
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |