Épinal vs Metz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
VAU
1 - 2
SPI
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
SPI
0 - 2
DUN
26%
28%
47%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
LIL
2 - 2
SPI
42%
25%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
CAL
1 - 1
SPI
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
LEN
1 - 1
SPI
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
AUX
0 - 0
MET
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
MET
1 - 1
COM
41%
26%
34%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 1
MET
44%
25%
32%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
MET
0 - 2
STR
46%
25%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
ESW
0 - 1
MET
66%
21%
14%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |