Épinal vs Marck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
SPI
4 - 1
LIL
28%
27%
45%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
RAO
1 - 1
SPI
58%
23%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
VES
1 - 1
SPI
52%
24%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
SPI
0 - 2
UJA
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
DUN
0 - 0
SPI
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Marck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 0
VIL
32%
27%
41%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
LIL
1 - 1
MAR
68%
20%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 2
RAO
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
UJA
1 - 1
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
4 - 2
DUN
34%
26%
41%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |