Épinal vs Luzenac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
GAZ
2 - 1
SPI
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
QUE
0 - 3
SPI
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SPI
1 - 3
ORL
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
BAY
2 - 1
SPI
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SPI
2 - 1
NIO
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Luzenac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
FCM
0 - 3
LUZ
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
LUZ
0 - 3
NÎM
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
RED
3 - 1
LUZ
30%
29%
41%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
LUZ
2 - 0
FCR
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
FRE
0 - 0
LUZ
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |