Épinal vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1996 |
OLY
0 - 0
SPI
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
SPI
1 - 0
STL
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
FCM
2 - 1
SPI
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
SPI
0 - 2
TFC
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
CAE
3 - 1
SPI
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1996 |
LOR
3 - 0
LMU
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
SOC
1 - 1
LOR
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
LOR
3 - 0
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
VAL
2 - 0
LOR
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
LOR
2 - 1
NIO
57%
24%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |