Épinal vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 0
SPI
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SPI
2 - 1
STR
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SPI
3 - 1
BRC
18%
25%
57%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 4
SPI
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
FCM
2 - 1
SPI
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
LEN
0 - 3
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
LEN
0 - 3
FCM
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
COL
2 - 1
LEN
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
LEN
4 - 1
NAN
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
NOI
0 - 0
LEN
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |