Épinal vs Illzach Modenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SEL
2 - 3
SPI
30%
26%
45%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
SPI
1 - 1
BES
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
SAI
1 - 2
SPI
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
SPI
1 - 1
JAR
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
SPI
0 - 0
SAI
62%
22%
17%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ILL
1 - 1
FCS
69%
19%
13%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ILL
0 - 2
SAI
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
VAU
0 - 4
ILL
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
ILL
1 - 1
JAR
57%
21%
21%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
ILL
3 - 1
ALG
83%
12%
6%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | 0 |