Épinal vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
41%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
IST
2 - 2
SPI
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
SPI
1 - 3
DUN
33%
28%
40%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
RED
3 - 0
SPI
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
SPI
0 - 2
AVR
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
STR
1 - 0
SPI
56%
23%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 2
COL
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
LUC
0 - 2
FRE
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 0
AMI
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
FRE
3 - 0
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
IST
2 - 0
FRE
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |