Épinal vs US Fleury-Merogis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
FCS
3 - 0
SPI
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
FEI
2 - 3
SPI
20%
25%
56%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
OST
1 - 0
SPI
7%
15%
78%
|
51 | 17 | 34 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SED
0 - 1
SPI
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SPI
0 - 2
BEL
65%
20%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BOB
3 - 1
FLE
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
FLE
1 - 2
REI
50%
25%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
IRI
3 - 2
FLE
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
FCS
4 - 1
FLE
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
FLE
0 - 3
LIL
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |