Épinal vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
55.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
LES
0 - 0
SPI
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
SPI
2 - 0
VES
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
OLY
4 - 2
SPI
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
SPI
3 - 0
MET
34%
27%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
SCH
3 - 0
SPI
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
DUN
5 - 2
SCH
68%
20%
11%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
NAN
3 - 1
DUN
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
DUN
0 - 0
CAL
61%
23%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
RCE
3 - 3
DUN
18%
25%
58%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
DUN
3 - 0
LEN
61%
22%
16%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |