Épinal vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
38.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
QUE
1 - 1
SPI
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SPI
0 - 0
LUZ
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
MET
2 - 0
SPI
58%
24%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
SPI
1 - 1
VAN
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
USB
2 - 2
SPI
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LUS
4 - 1
UZE
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
LUS
4 - 1
LPS
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
QUE
2 - 3
LUS
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 1
LUZ
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
MET
3 - 1
LUS
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |