Épinal vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
SPI
5 - 3
VES
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
FCM
0 - 4
SPI
18%
23%
59%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SPI
3 - 1
MOA
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SPI
2 - 0
SAI
79%
15%
7%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
YZE
1 - 1
SPI
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
NIO
2 - 1
LUS
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
AUX
2 - 0
NIO
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
NIO
0 - 1
STL
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 1
NIO
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2013 |
NIO
2 - 2
LEN
32%
28%
41%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |