Sarzanese vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SET
0 - 0
ASC
27%
26%
47%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ASC
1 - 0
ACD
26%
26%
48%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
CUN
1 - 1
ASC
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ASC
3 - 1
CHI
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ACA
1 - 1
ASC
44%
25%
32%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
LAV
0 - 1
SET
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
SCC
1 - 1
LAV
33%
26%
41%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
ACQ
1 - 1
LAV
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
LAV
3 - 1
BAA
51%
25%
24%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
LAV
0 - 0
ALB
30%
26%
44%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |