Sarzanese vs Chiavari Caperana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
ACA
3 - 1
ASC
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
ASC
2 - 3
CHI
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ASC
1 - 1
ACQ
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
VIG
1 - 0
ASC
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
AST
1 - 1
ASC
39%
26%
35%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chiavari Caperana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 2
CHI
47%
24%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
CUN
2 - 2
CHI
49%
25%
27%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 1
BOR
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 2
CHI
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 0
ACR
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |