C.D. Sarsfield vs Miguel Rua-Don Bosco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.1%
9.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
REL
1 - 0
SAR
69%
17%
15%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAR
8 - 2
CAS
43%
20%
37%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CIU
4 - 1
SAR
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 2
ESP
40%
22%
38%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CDC
1 - 2
SAR
40%
21%
39%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Miguel Rua-Don Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
MRD
66%
17%
17%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MRD
1 - 5
ESP
20%
20%
60%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ORZ
1 - 1
MRD
45%
22%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MRD
7 - 0
CCO
44%
20%
36%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
MRD
60%
19%
22%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |