C.D. Sarsfield vs Marte CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.4%
11.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 3
SAR
13%
16%
70%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SAR
5 - 0
OZA
88%
8%
4%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 8
SAR
18%
18%
65%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SAR
3 - 0
GAL
70%
15%
15%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LIC
1 - 3
SAR
39%
21%
40%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Marte CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
6 - 5
OZA
70%
16%
14%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
GAL
1 - 0
MAR
38%
21%
41%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
4 - 1
PRE
50%
20%
30%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MRD
0 - 3
MAR
35%
21%
44%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAS
32%
21%
48%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |