C.D. Sarsfield vs Universidade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
66.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
LIC
1 - 3
SAR
44%
21%
35%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 2
ORZ
46%
22%
33%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
GAL
5 - 2
SAR
65%
18%
17%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SAR
3 - 2
CAS
54%
21%
26%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CDC
3 - 1
SAR
45%
22%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Universidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
ESP
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
CIU
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SCD
1 - 2
UNI
31%
23%
46%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
COC
0 - 4
UNI
13%
18%
69%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
UNI
6 - 1
LIC
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |