C.D. Sarsfield vs C. Compañía de María analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
6.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CCO
0 - 7
SAR
24%
19%
58%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 2
MAR
76%
13%
11%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 3
SAR
13%
16%
70%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SAR
5 - 0
OZA
88%
8%
4%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 8
SAR
18%
18%
65%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
C. Compañía de María
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CPM
0 - 1
MAR
31%
21%
48%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
OZA
2 - 4
CPM
40%
22%
38%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CPM
1 - 4
GAL
36%
21%
44%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CPM
6 - 4
MRD
51%
20%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
5 - 3
CPM
79%
13%
9%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |