C.D. Sarsfield vs Atlético dos Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
25.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CDC
3 - 1
SAR
45%
22%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 3
COR
19%
19%
62%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 4
SAR
49%
21%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 1
MAR
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SIQ
1 - 0
SAR
78%
13%
9%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético dos Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
ESP
22%
21%
57%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CIU
3 - 0
CAS
53%
21%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 4
UNI
23%
22%
56%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
COC
2 - 2
CAS
43%
22%
35%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 0
LIC
65%
18%
18%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |