Sarreguemines vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
76.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarreguemines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
MEZ
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
BIE
3 - 1
SAR
39%
23%
39%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
SBI
2 - 3
SAR
11%
16%
73%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 4
SCH
37%
22%
41%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
NAN
1 - 2
SAR
54%
20%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 0
GAZ
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
ORL
0 - 2
VAL
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
VAL
3 - 3
BOU
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
ETA
0 - 2
VAL
6%
12%
82%
|
63 | 10 | 53 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
TRO
2 - 0
VAL
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |