Sarreguemines vs Erstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.3%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.9%
2.7%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarreguemines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SAR
2 - 0
TRO
25%
23%
53%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LUN
1 - 0
SAR
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SAR
0 - 1
RCE
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
NAN
3 - 2
SAR
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 1
MET
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Erstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ERS
0 - 1
LUN
7%
14%
79%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
RCE
3 - 0
ERS
83%
12%
5%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ERS
0 - 3
NAN
9%
15%
76%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MET
2 - 2
ERS
90%
7%
3%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
ERS
0 - 0
STR
6%
14%
80%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | +2 |