Sarre-Union vs Illzach Modenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
44.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
SAR
3 - 1
FCT
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SAI
1 - 1
SAR
29%
24%
47%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
MET
4 - 2
SAR
75%
15%
9%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SAR
0 - 2
BEL
30%
25%
45%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
TRO
3 - 0
SAR
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
ILL
0 - 0
SAI
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
ILL
3 - 1
CHA
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
BES
1 - 2
ILL
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
ILL
1 - 1
SAI
54%
22%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
VAU
4 - 0
ILL
35%
24%
42%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |