Sarre-Union vs APM Metz analysis


41	ELO	9
-4.5%	Tilt	13.5%
6952º	General ELO ranking	32199º
186º	Country ELO ranking	694º
ELO win probability

75.5%

Sarre-Union

14.8%

Draw

9.7%

APM Metz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

75.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%

14.8%

Draw

0-0

3%

1-1

6.8%

2-2

3.9%

3-3

1%

4-4

0.1%

5-5

<0%

0

14.8%

9.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sarre-Union

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
10 Nov. 2023	SAR 3 - 2 REI 44% 25% 31%	40	40	0	0
04 Nov. 2023	RAO 0 - 2 SAR 46% 22% 33%	38	39	1	+2
21 Oct. 2023	SAR 2 - 1 MET 45% 23% 32%	37	38	1	+1
07 Oct. 2023	BEL 2 - 2 SAR 47% 23% 31%	37	40	3	0
23 Sep. 2023	SAR 5 - 1 TRO 38% 24% 39%	35	38	3	+2

Matches

APM Metz

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
12 Nov. 2016	ROY 2 - 1 APM 78% 14% 8%	8	35	27	0
15 Nov. 2015	APM 0 - 3 SAI 11% 18% 71%	9	40	31	-1
26 Nov. 2006	APM 1 - 4 REI 19% 23% 58%	9	69	60	0