Sarre-Union vs APM Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 2
REI
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RAO
0 - 2
SAR
46%
22%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 1
MET
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 2
SAR
47%
23%
31%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
5 - 1
TRO
38%
24%
39%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
APM Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ROY
2 - 1
APM
78%
14%
8%
|
8 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
APM
0 - 3
SAI
11%
18%
71%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
APM
1 - 4
REI
19%
23%
58%
|
9 | 69 | 60 | 0 |