Sarpsborg FK vs Mercantile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
NOT
4 - 1
SAR
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 4
SAR
64%
19%
18%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2005 |
SAR
1 - 0
ODD
67%
19%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
SAR
0 - 3
GBK
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
SJE
0 - 3
SAR
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Mercantile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2005 |
MFC
1 - 0
ODD
31%
23%
47%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
GBK
2 - 0
MFC
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
MFC
2 - 1
SJE
35%
22%
43%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
MFC
1 - 5
DRO
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
ORN
0 - 1
MFC
76%
14%
10%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |