Sarpsborg FK vs Fredrikstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
45.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 5
S08
42%
23%
35%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SPA
3 - 7
SAR
6%
14%
80%
|
60 | 20 | 40 | +12 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
7 - 2
FFK
92%
6%
2%
|
60 | 22 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
KRA
5 - 0
SAR
25%
25%
50%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -3 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
7 - 2
TIF
84%
11%
5%
|
63 | 25 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
FFK
2 - 0
VIF
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
RBK
1 - 0
FFK
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
FFK
3 - 0
BBS
28%
24%
48%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
FFK
1 - 0
LSK
45%
24%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
FFK
1 - 2
STR
46%
26%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |