Sarpsborg FK vs Lyn 1896 FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
60.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
RBK
1 - 1
SAR
68%
18%
14%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
SAR
0 - 0
FRI
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1968 |
SKE
1 - 0
SAR
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1968 |
SAR
2 - 0
STR
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 1968 |
VIF
0 - 1
SAR
64%
20%
16%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lyn 1896 FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1968 |
LYN
2 - 0
VIF
79%
14%
7%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1968 |
LYN
4 - 1
ALT
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
BBS
0 - 2
LYN
40%
23%
37%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
ALT
3 - 1
LYN
29%
23%
48%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1968 |
FFK
1 - 4
LYN
37%
23%
40%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |