Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 2-2
Sarpsborg 08 vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
STG
2 - 1
S08
31%
24%
45%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
S08
2 - 0
IBV
74%
17%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
IBV
0 - 4
S08
19%
21%
60%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
S08
4 - 1
RAN
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
KRI
1 - 1
S08
24%
25%
51%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
STG
2 - 4
SIO
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
STG
2 - 1
S08
31%
24%
45%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 2
STG
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
STG
1 - 1
BHA
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
STG
4 - 0
SCB
90%
9%
2%
|
72 | 19 | 53 | 0 |