Sarpsborg 08 vs Sandefjord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
15º
8º
31
8º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
SOG
3 - 4
S08
19%
21%
60%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
RBK
0 - 3
S08
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
S08
1 - 3
VKG
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
S08
3 - 1
ODD
46%
24%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
TRO
2 - 1
S08
39%
26%
36%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sandefjord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
HAU
3 - 2
SDF
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SDF
4 - 1
ODD
27%
26%
48%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
MFK
5 - 0
SDF
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
ETO
2 - 2
SDF
13%
18%
69%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
STR
1 - 0
SDF
51%
24%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |