Sarpsborg 08 vs Moss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
ALT
3 - 0
S08
29%
24%
48%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
S08
4 - 0
STA
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
HAM
2 - 1
S08
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
S08
1 - 0
HAU
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
LOV
4 - 1
S08
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
MOS
2 - 2
SKE
66%
20%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
BRY
3 - 3
MOS
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
MOS
2 - 1
NYB
48%
24%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
SOG
2 - 1
MOS
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
MOS
2 - 3
KON
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |