Sarpsborg 08 vs HamKam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
8º
6º
14
8º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
29 | 57 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 57 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 55 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 51 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 49 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 47 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 42 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 42 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 37 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 37 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 34 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 22 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 14 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
5.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
15.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
79% | 55.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 30% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 14.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2025 |
S08
3 - 1
SDF
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
VKG
0 - 0
S08
54%
21%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
S08
2 - 3
STR
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
GOF
1 - 6
S08
4%
11%
85%
|
81 | 41 | 40 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
KFU
1 - 3
S08
31%
26%
44%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
HamKam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2025 |
LYN
0 - 2
HAM
39%
23%
38%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
HAM
0 - 0
KFU
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SDF
2 - 0
HAM
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
LOR
0 - 1
HAM
10%
16%
74%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
HAM
2 - 5
VKG
19%
23%
58%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |