Sarpsborg 08 vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
ELP
0 - 0
S08
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
S08
1 - 1
RBK
22%
23%
55%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
STR
4 - 1
S08
70%
17%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
STB
3 - 2
S08
37%
25%
39%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
LOR
0 - 1
S08
8%
14%
78%
|
72 | 41 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
MOI
1 - 5
FOL
14%
19%
67%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
FOL
7 - 1
VAL
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
KJE
0 - 2
FOL
23%
22%
56%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
SKE
1 - 3
FOL
20%
21%
58%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 0
FFK
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |