Sarpsborg 08 vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SOG
1 - 2
S08
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
S08
3 - 0
FFK
43%
26%
32%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
LOV
2 - 1
S08
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2009 |
KON
3 - 1
S08
36%
24%
41%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2009 |
S08
3 - 2
KON
57%
20%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
RAN
1 - 0
FOL
46%
24%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
FOL
0 - 0
BRY
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
FOL
2 - 0
STR
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
KRI
3 - 4
FOL
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
FOL
2 - 1
ULL
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |