Sarpsborg 08 II vs Tromso II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
38.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+84%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
10º
13º
11º
28
8º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
SKE
2 - 3
SAR
60%
19%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 2
FLO
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 0
SAR
81%
12%
7%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
FOL
2 - 1
SAR
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 2
ASK
17%
19%
65%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +3 |
Matches
Tromso II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 2
KFU
61%
18%
21%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
FOL
8 - 0
TRO
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TRO
5 - 0
HIS
93%
6%
2%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
ASK
5 - 0
TRO
74%
14%
12%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
TRO
6 - 0
SIK
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +3 |