Sarpsborg 08 II vs Mjøndalen IF II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
13.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
12º
6º
11
14º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
AIF
2 - 1
SAR
18%
18%
65%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 3
AFK
71%
16%
14%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
IFL
5 - 2
SAR
34%
21%
45%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 1
SKE
56%
20%
25%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
FRI
4 - 2
SAR
80%
12%
8%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Mjøndalen IF II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
MJO
3 - 1
ULL
17%
19%
64%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ASK
2 - 1
MJO
89%
7%
3%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MJO
0 - 1
NOR
7%
15%
78%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
KFU
4 - 0
MJO
74%
15%
12%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
MJO
1 - 3
AIF
74%
15%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |