Sarpsborg 08 II vs Flint analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
33.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
12º
6º
29
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
KFU
5 - 0
SAR
63%
18%
20%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 3
NOR
24%
20%
56%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 1
OPP
36%
21%
42%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SIK
2 - 0
SAR
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 0
SKA
69%
16%
15%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Flint
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
IFL
0 - 4
ORN
16%
18%
66%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
IFL
1 - 5
SDF
4%
10%
86%
|
31 | 72 | 41 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
IFL
2 - 1
ETO
23%
18%
60%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
IFL
1 - 2
OPP
25%
19%
56%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ETO
3 - 1
IFL
74%
14%
12%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |