Sarnese vs Sicula Leonzio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
54.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
RAA
1 - 1
SAR
55%
25%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 0
SAN
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
PAL
3 - 0
SAR
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
REN
29%
28%
43%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GLA
2 - 0
SAR
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Sicula Leonzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SIC
1 - 0
NFR
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 2
SIC
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SIC
0 - 0
GRA
73%
18%
10%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
USC
0 - 0
SIC
13%
17%
70%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
SIC
0 - 0
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |