Sarnese vs Selargius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+101%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CIV
1 - 0
SAR
24%
24%
52%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SAR
2 - 2
HYR
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 0
SAR
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 0
ACI
80%
14%
7%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAR
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Selargius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SEL
0 - 3
SOR
42%
25%
34%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ARZ
2 - 0
SEL
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
HYR
1 - 0
SEL
28%
23%
50%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SEL
1 - 1
POR
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ACI
0 - 0
SEL
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |