Sarnese vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
REN
1 - 0
SAR
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 0
VIG
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAV
0 - 0
SAR
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 0
LEO
51%
22%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 2
SAR
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
GEL
44%
25%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 3
RAA
26%
24%
50%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -5 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
DTO
2 - 0
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
NOT
0 - 1
MAR
50%
24%
27%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
REG
23%
22%
56%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |