Sarnese vs Lupa Frascati analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SOR
1 - 1
SAR
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAR
2 - 1
ARZ
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
POR
0 - 0
SAR
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SAR
4 - 2
SEL
75%
16%
10%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CIV
1 - 0
SAR
24%
24%
52%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Lupa Frascati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
LUP
2 - 2
OST
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SOR
0 - 2
LUP
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SEL
2 - 2
LUP
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
LUP
1 - 0
ARZ
64%
20%
17%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
HYR
0 - 2
LUP
18%
21%
60%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |