Sarnese vs Guidonia analysis

Sarnese Guidonia
48 ELO 39
3.6% Tilt -4.4%
5212º General ELO ranking 7253º
184º Country ELO ranking 277º
ELO win probability
61.2%
Sarnese
20.6%
Draw
18.2%
Guidonia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
Sarnese
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.2%
Win probability
Guidonia
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sarnese
+64%
+4632%
Guidonia

Points and table prediction

Sarnese
Their league position
Guidonia
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
12º
69
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Guidonia
69
69
100%
Gelbison
64
64
100%
Sarnese
62
62
100%
Cassino
58
58
100%
Savoia 1908
57
57
100%
Paganese
56
56
100%
Cynthialbalonga
51
51
100%
Puteolana
47
48
100%
Trastevere
44
44
100%
Olbia Calcio
10º
42
42
10º
100%
Latte Dolce
11º
41
41
11º
100%
Anzio
15º
38
40
12º
100%
Ilvamaddalena
13º
38
38
13º
100%
Real Monterotondo Scalo
12º
39
38
14º
100%
Lodigiani
14º
38
38
15º
100%
Sarrabus Ogliastra
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Atletico Uri
17º
29
29
17º
100%
Terracina Calcio
18º
24
25
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sarnese
Guidonia
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Sarnese
Guidonia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sarnese
Sarnese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2025
SSC
Cassino
1 - 1
Sarnese
SAR
45%
26%
29%
47 52 5 0
23 Feb. 2025
SAR
Sarnese
2 - 1
Ilvamaddalena
ASI
62%
21%
17%
47 39 8 0
16 Feb. 2025
ANZ
Anzio
2 - 6
Sarnese
SAR
38%
25%
37%
45 39 6 +2
09 Feb. 2025
SAR
Sarnese
4 - 2
Atletico Uri
AUR
57%
22%
20%
45 41 4 0
02 Feb. 2025
ULD
Latte Dolce
0 - 1
Sarnese
SAR
44%
25%
31%
44 45 1 +1

Matches

Guidonia
Guidonia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2025
GMF
Guidonia
1 - 0
Gelbison
GEL
31%
27%
42%
37 54 17 0
26 Feb. 2025
GMF
Guidonia
5 - 0
Martina Franca
MAR
8%
14%
78%
34 65 31 +3
23 Feb. 2025
TCA
Terracina Calcio
1 - 5
Guidonia
GMF
54%
21%
25%
33 37 4 +1
16 Feb. 2025
GMF
Guidonia
1 - 0
Cynthialbalonga
CYN
25%
24%
50%
28 47 19 +5
12 Feb. 2025
MAR
Martina Franca
0 - 0
Guidonia
GMF
75%
16%
9%
28 66 38 0