Sarnese vs Sancataldese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+101%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
PAL
3 - 0
SAR
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
REN
29%
28%
43%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GLA
2 - 0
SAR
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
FCI
49%
22%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
NOC
1 - 0
SAR
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sancataldese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
PAL
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
NFR
17%
22%
62%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +4 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 0
SAN
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
SIC
0 - 0
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
GRA
31%
23%
47%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |