Sarnen vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
HOC
0 - 4
SAR
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 2
MAL
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
GUN
2 - 1
SAR
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
IBA
0 - 0
SAR
40%
25%
36%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
SAR
2 - 4
GOL
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
IBA
0 - 1
ESC
41%
24%
35%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
BUO
2 - 0
IBA
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
IBA
0 - 1
ZOF
22%
22%
56%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
IBA
0 - 0
SAR
40%
25%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
WIL
0 - 0
IBA
36%
23%
41%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |