Sarnen vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
43.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
EMM
6 - 2
SAR
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
SAR
2 - 2
FCC
33%
22%
45%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
PER
3 - 0
SAR
61%
19%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
SAR
3 - 3
FCS
32%
23%
44%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
IBA
1 - 1
SAR
55%
22%
23%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
HER
0 - 1
LUZ
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
EMM
4 - 2
HER
60%
19%
22%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
HER
3 - 2
FCC
42%
22%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
PER
1 - 1
HER
48%
20%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
HER
3 - 1
FCS
42%
23%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |