Sarnen vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
54.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
TAV
6 - 0
SAR
63%
21%
17%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 0
LUG
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
ESC
2 - 3
SAR
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SAR
3 - 2
LOC
32%
23%
45%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
HOC
1 - 2
SAR
50%
24%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
ESC
3 - 4
HER
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
HER
0 - 1
LOC
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
HOC
1 - 2
HER
17%
20%
63%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
BRU
1 - 1
HER
35%
21%
44%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
HER
2 - 0
FCA
69%
17%
15%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |