Sarnen vs FC Malcantone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
59.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SAR
2 - 2
IBA
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
SAR
2 - 1
FCB
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
BUO
0 - 1
SAR
59%
22%
20%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SAR
3 - 2
SAR
19%
22%
59%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
SAR
5 - 1
LSS
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Malcantone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
GOL
1 - 1
MAL
13%
22%
65%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
KUS
1 - 4
MAL
12%
22%
66%
|
52 | 18 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
MAL
1 - 1
FCS
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
MAL
2 - 0
SCH
82%
12%
5%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
LUZ
2 - 1
MAL
18%
23%
59%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |