Sarnen vs Aarau analysis

Sarnen Aarau
23 ELO 68
3.6% Tilt 0%
27634º General ELO ranking 743º
288º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
20.5%
Sarnen
22.5%
Draw
57%
Aarau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
Sarnen
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
57%
Win probability
Aarau
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO progression

Sarnen
Aarau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2007
FCA
Aarau
1 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
17%
23%
61%
68 85 17 0
25 Aug. 2007
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
2 - 1
Aarau
FCA
53%
25%
22%
69 71 2 -1
18 Aug. 2007
FCA
Aarau
0 - 0
Luzern
FCL
45%
26%
30%
69 69 0 0
12 Aug. 2007
THU
Thun
2 - 5
Aarau
FCA
56%
25%
19%
68 74 6 +1
05 Aug. 2007
FCA
Aarau
2 - 2
Grasshopper
GCZ
28%
27%
45%
68 79 11 0