Sarnen vs Emmenbrücke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
IBA
1 - 2
SAR
48%
24%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
SAR
5 - 2
HER
42%
24%
35%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
SAR
1 - 2
TAV
51%
23%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 1
SAR
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
SAR
5 - 1
GOL
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Emmenbrücke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
EMM
1 - 1
FCS
54%
22%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
EMM
4 - 0
LUZ
60%
20%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
HER
1 - 6
EMM
58%
22%
21%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
LSS
3 - 2
EMM
61%
21%
19%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
IBA
3 - 1
EMM
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |