Sarnen vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
52.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 0
SAR
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SAR
0 - 3
IBA
20%
23%
57%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
HER
3 - 0
SAR
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 2
HOC
31%
21%
48%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
TEA
4 - 1
SAR
80%
13%
8%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ASC
0 - 3
ESC
50%
24%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
LOC
6 - 1
ASC
52%
23%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
BRU
9 - 1
ASC
54%
22%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -3 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
ASC
3 - 3
CAS
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
ASC
1 - 0
VED
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |